Handbook of Economic Expectations
Bachmann, Ruediger
Topa, Giorgio
van der Klaauw, Wilbert
Expectations lie at the heart of any economic model of decision making under uncertainty. Traditionally, rational, that is, model-internal expectations have been a powerful tool for economic analysis, but increasingly the economics field has engaged in innovative data collection efforts to directly elicit expectations from economic agent. Data on subjective expectations allow us to make progress on fundamental questions around the formation and updating of expectations by economic agents and about the content of their information sets; to study the heterogeneity and potential biases in expectations, analyzing their impact on behavior; and to deepen our understanding of the role expectations play in decision making under uncertainty. This volume aims to discuss the state of the art in the collection, study and use of expectations data in economics, the modeling of expectations formation and updating, as well as open questions and directions for future research. The plan of the volume spans a broad range of fields, approaches and applications. Thus, the volume will position itself as a go-to reference for current and future scholars in this area. Combines information about the creation of economic expectations and their theories, applications, and likely futures Provides a comprehensive summary of economics expectations literature Explores empirical and theoretical dimensions of expectations and their relevance to a wide array of subfields in economics INDICE: I. Expectations Elicitation 1. Household surveys and probabilistic questions 2. Firm surveys 3. Surveys of professionals 4. Expectations in lab experiments 5. Field experiments in surveys 6. Market data II. Expectations as Data 7. Inflation expectations 8. Housing market expectations 9. Expectations in education 10. Expectations in development 11. Expectations of older households (retirement, demographics) 12. Expectations of financial market participants 13. Expectations of firms about macroeconomic variables 14. Expectations of firms about their own variables III. Expectations Data and Theory 15. Expectations data, term structure and monetary policy 16. Expectations data and DSGE models 17. Expectations data in structural micro models 18. Expectations data and asset pricing 19. Expectations data, labor market and job searchIV. Theory of Expectations20. Sentiment and confidence in macro models21. Expectations in incomplete market models22. Heterogeneous beliefs23. Ambiguity and Uncertainty24. LearningV. Open Issues26. The Epidemiology of Expectations and the Media27. Neuroeconomics and Expectations28. Health Expectations
- ISBN: 978-0-12-822927-9
- Editorial: Academic Press
- Encuadernacion: Rústica
- Páginas: 1000
- Fecha Publicación: 13/12/2022
- Nº Volúmenes: 1
- Idioma: Inglés